PM Ponta, Liberal Johannis ahead in opinion poll on presidential elections


Prime Minister Victor Ponta and National Liberal Party (PNL, opposition) President Klaus Johannis lead the voting intentions for the November presidential elections, according to an opinion poll conducted by INSCOP, commissioned by the Adevarul newspaper and released to Agerpres on Monday. According to the poll, 65.9 percent of those who have the right to vote will actually vote; 48.6 percent of the respondents say that they will certainly vote, 17.3 percent will probably vote, 6.4 percent will certainly not vote, 7.9 percent will probably not vote, 15.9 percent are undecided, and 3.8 percent do not know or did not answer.
As regards the possible candidates of political parties, incumbent Prime Minister Victor Ponta is preferred by 62.9 percent of the respondents as the candidate of the alliance of his Social Democratic Party (PSD) with the National Union for Romania’s Progress and the Conservative Party, while former PSD leader and presidential candidate in the 2010 presidential elections Mircea Geoana has 37.1 percent. For PNL, Klaus Johannis is the preferred candidate of 66.1 percent of the respondents, while 33.9 percent want the party’s choice to go to former PNL head Crin Antonescu, who also ran for president in 2010.
Among those who say they will certainly or probably vote, Ponta has 65.9 percent and Geoana 34.1 percent as preferred candidates of their alliance; Johannis has 65.9 percent and Antonescu 32.9 percent for PNL’s candidate. Based on a list of pre-defined answers, Ponta would have 43.6 of the definite options, not including the ‘others’; Johannis has 31.2 percent of these definite options, Mihai-Razvan Ungureanu (Civic Force) – 9.6 percent, Calin Popescu-Tariceanu (independent) – 4.5 percent, Hunor Kelemen (Hungarian Democratic Union of Romania) – 3.5 percent, and other candidates less than 3 percent each; 16.2 percent of the respondents are undecided, 6.5 percent would not vote, and 4 percent do not know or do not answer.
If a runoff would oppose Ponta to Johannis next Sunday, they would get 52.8 percent and 47.2 percent respectively; the same percentages among those who declared their intention to vote (65.9 percent of the total sample) would be 54.8 for Ponta and 45.2 for Johannis.
INSCOP director Remus Stefureac says that his polling institute data suggest that undecided voters and voters attending only presidential elections are the main stake of the campaign. INSCOP performed the opinion poll commissioned by the Adevarul daily newspaper between July 1 and 6, on a sample of 1,055 persons representative for the Romanian people aged above 18.

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