USL to crush ARD in Sunday’s ballot, polls say

The two opinion polls released in the last 48 hours say the Social-Liberal Union (USL) will be the undisputed winner of the legislative election on Sunday. The CSCI poll released by Romania TV Tuesday night suggests USL will take 60.8 per cent of the vote, the Right Romania Alliance (ARD) – 19.2 per cent, the People’s Party – Dan Diaconescu (PPDD) – 12 per cent and the Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR) – 5 per cent. The poll indicates that almost two thirds of the Romanian voters say Victor Ponta will lead the next Government. If he is not designated as prime minister – say 60 per cent of respondents – USL should impeach President Traian Basescu. Fifty-three per cent of Romanians however do not expect this election to end the political conflicts, saying that a new political crisis will follow after Sunday’s election. The poll was conducted in the November 29 – December 4 period, including a sample group of 1,542 subjects.A second opinion poll conducted by IMAS for Europa FM produced the same top three winners with the followings scores: USL – 60.5 per cent, ARD – 15 per cent, PPDD – 15 per cent, UDMR little over 6 per cent and PRM – under 2 per cent. The poll conducted done on the telephone in the November 29 – December 3 period and has a confidence interval of +/-3 per cent. The Europa FM survey also anticipates a turnout of 45 per cent – meaning about 8.2 million voters.

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