If elections were held Sunday, the PSD-UNPR alliance would win 40 pc of votes, mostly from voters living in rural areas and over 50 years old, followed by PNL–PC with 23.5 pc.The PSD-UNPR alliance is the first in the preferences of the Romanians that would vote Sunday, with a score of 40 pc. The Liberals and the Conservatives accumulate 23.5 pc of voting intentions, followed by PDL with 14.1 pc and PP-DD with 9 pc. The data were provided by the public opinion Barometer ‘Truth on Romania’ conducted by Inscop Research, ordered by Adevarul. The Adevarul-Inscop research took into consideration the polling of voting intentions for the two entities which form USL (PSD as dominant actor, followed by UNPR, and PNL as dominant actor trailed by PC), and not for USL. Actually, for the European elections, the two political forces announced that they will run separately. The difference between PSD and PNL is explained by the volumes of electoral basins, traditionally larger for PSD, the ascendency of PSD in the government led by a prime minister of this party, but also by the fact that PSD has a preponderantly rural, conservative and stable electorate. Another explanation could be that, having the prime minister, PSD is perceived as the winner of the elections, according to the Inscop analysis. Inscop however warns that this perception is very advantageous only on a short term. On long term and against the background of the economic crisis, PSD might erode to a greater extent than the Liberals.
The portrait of the voter
Those who have high and very high confidence in the Church are more inclined to vote for PSD, according to Inscop. Those who have high and very high confidence in the National Anticorruption Directorate and the National Integrity Agency are more inclined than the average to vote for PDL. The majority of those who believe that the economy will have a positive evolution in the coming year would vote for PSD, as results from Inscop data. The PSD-UNPR alliance would be preponderantly voted by people aged over 50, inactive, with small and medium incomes, from Muntenia, Oltenia, Doborogea and Moldavia, who live mostly in rural areas. PNL– PC attracts voters with higher education to a higher extent than the average, 18 to 50 years old, from urban areas, mainly living in Moldavia and Banat. Those who have high and very high confidence in Mugur Isarescu are more inclined to vote for PNL, Inscop mentions.