According to GSCC Avangarde survey’s scenario with elections next Sunday
A runoff Ponta-Iohannis would score 57% against 43%.
Victor Ponta, the incumbent prime minister and head of the ruling Social Democrat Party (PSD) is the presidential candidate preferred by 57 percent of Romanian voters, while 43 percent would vote for the Christian Liberal Alliance (ACL) head Klaus Iohannis, if they were the only ones running for president in the November elections, according to an opinion poll by GSSC Avangarde.
By region, Ponta leads in the historical provinces of Muntenia (south) and Moldova (east), with 66 and 60 percent respectively, while Iohannis is favourite in Transylvania (center-west) with 55 percent.
Citizens of Bucharest who maintain they will certainly vote prefer Ponta, who is supported, besides PSD, by the Conservative Party (PC) and the National Union for Romania’s Progress (UNPR); Avangarde’s barometer credits him with 57 percent. Iohannis, backed by ACL (formed by his own National Liberal Party – PNL and the Democrat Liberal Party – PDL) has 43 percent in this survey.
Other scores produced by Avangarde, in a scenario with presidential elections held next Sunday: Ponta 42 percent, Iohannis 28 percent, followed by Calin Popescu Tariceanu (Reformist Liberal Party – PLR) 8 percent, Elena Udrea (People’s Movement Party – PMP) 5 percent, Teodor Melescanu (National Environmental Party), Hunor Kelemen (Hungarian Democratic Union of Romania – UDMR) and in Monica Macovei (independent) – 4 percent each, Corneliu Vadim Tudor (Greater Romania Party) and Dan Diaconescu (Dan Diaconesu-People’s Party) 2 percent each, and William Brinza (Romanian Ecologist Party) 1 percent.
Among the respondents who claim they will definitely cast their vote, 42 would choose the alliance of PSD, PC and UNPR, 30 percent ACL, 7 percent PMP, 5 percent each UDMR and PLR, 3 percent the People’s Party Dan Diaconescu (PPDD), 2 percent Greater Romania Party (PRM), 1 percent each National Peasants’ Party (PNT) and the Ecologist Party of Romania (PER), and 4 percent other parties.
The opinion poll was conducted between September 28 and October 3 on a sample of 950 voters, interviewed directly at their homes. The sample is representative for the whole adult non-institutionalized population of Romania. The error margin is plus/minus 3.18 percent with a confidence interval of 95 percent.