2015 is not an election year, but the domestic political life will be marked by major movements of the political parties with immediate stake, but also with a long-range perspective, namely the preparations and the strategy for the parliamentary elections in 2016.
At the beginning of this year there are many questions about the future Romanian political life that expect their answers, but undoubtedly the most relevant are: “how much will resist the Ponta government?”; “what surprises will Gabriel Oprea’s UNPR prepare””; “will UNPR leave the coalition?”; “when and how the Liberals will take over the governance?” ; “what role will play the former President Traian Basescu on the political scene”; “how much will he get involved in Elena Udrea’s People’s Movement Party (PMP) to reform it from the ground and to transform it in a party to count in the political game””, etc.
The Congress of the Social Democratic Party (PSD) announced for March is one of the most expected events of the year on the political stage .
First of all, changes are desired at the top of the ruling party in which there is so much disorientation and mess after its leader, Victor Ponta, lost the presidential election. On the one hand, the Anti-corruption National Directorate (DNA) has started to clean the party by its controversial names, involved in corruption cases, but on the other hand this is not enough for changing the image of the party, and the party leadership is expected to give a strong signal of delimitation by its haughty barons and their practices and begin the deep reform announced to clean the party by its traditional labels: communist, corrupt, arrogant, etc.
It is interesting to see who will be the new chairman after the Congress meeting. Ponta has hinted that he would not necessarily run for the party’s presidency. It cannot be ruled out that a surprise can happen in terms of the new leadership of the largest party in Romania, since already a representative of the new wave of PSD politicians, Catalin Ivan, announced his intention to run for the party’s chairmanship. Equally interesting is the recent statement by the chair of the PSD women’s organization, Rovana Plumb. On the model of the designation of a woman as the PNL’s head , Mrs. Plumb, the Labour Minister has recently hinted that the women’s organization of the party, the third largest in Europe, is prepared to provide a woman as president of PSD.
Another major political event of this year, awaited with great interest, is the Congress of the People’s Movement Party (PMP), set for March, too. Many observers have expressed surprise for the lack of rush of the former President Traian Basescu to join Elena Udrea’s party immediately after ending officially his presidential mandate, as he and Elena Udrea had announced previously.
However, many believe that Basescu will play a crucial role in the new leadership of the party and in the new PMP’s strategy to become an important and influential party on the right side of the political spectrum. According to sources close to PMP cited by stiripesurse.ro a few days ago, Basescu is determined to be involved in the deep restructuring of the party, having the goal for PMP to achieve a score of 15% both in the local elections and parliamentary elections from 2016.
But until the two congresses, the first major political move of the year is announced for January 5, namely the meeting of the Liberal Unification Committee aimed to debate the criteria under which the PDL-PNL merger process is to be conducted.
In addition, it seems that the UNPR seriously considers more and more appropriate to find new windows of opportunities in the dialogue with the Liberals, say some rumours. This means that if the party’s leadership will decide to leave the current ruling coalition PSD-PC UNPR, Ponta’s government will become a minority government without the comfortable parliamentary majority, as it has now. In other words, the Ponta IV government’s fate hangs by UNPR’s decision.