POLITICS

INSCOP poll: PNL would win 44.5pct , while PSD-UNPR, 37.1pct

The opposition National Liberal Party (PNL) would garner more than 44 per cent of the vote if a general election were held next Sunday, reveals findings of an INSCOP poll released on Wednesday, according to Agerpres.

According to the poll, topping the vote intentions of Romanians is PNL at 44.5 per cent, followed by the alliance of the Social Democratic Party (PSD) and the National Union for Romania’s Progress (UNPR), at 37.1 per cent. Also clearing the threshold for parliamentary representation would be the Hungarian Democratic Union of Romania (UDMR), at 5.1 per cent of the vote.

Romanians do not have a clear choice when it comes to their readiness to vote for a newly created political party.

If a general election were held next Sunday, the new PNL – PNL + the Democratic Liberal Party (PDL) – would win 44.5 per cent of the ballot (slightly down from 44.7 per cent this April), while the PSD-UNPR Alliance would get 37.1 per cent (slightly up from 39,1 per cent in April, when the vote intention was measured for the PSD – UNPR and the Conservative Party (PC), which in the meantime merged with the Reformist Liberal Party (PLR) as the Alliance of Liberals and Democrats (ALDE)), while UDMR would get 5.1 per cent (compared with 5.2 per cent in April).

Coming next in the vote intentions of Romanians are ALDE, with 3 per cent (compared with 2.2 per cent in April when the vote intention was measured for PLR, which in the meantime merged with PC in ALDE); the People’s Movement Party (PMP) – 2.4 per cent (compared with 2.8 per cent in April); M10 (a new party led by MEP Monica Macovei) – included for the first time in the INSCOP-Adevarul Barometer- 2.3 per cent; the Greater Romania Party (PRM) – 2.1 per cent (compared with 2 per cent in April) and the Christian Democratic National Peasant Party (PNTCD) – 1.2 per cent (slightly up from 1 per cent in April).

At the same time, 2.3 per cent of respondents chose to vote other parties (compared with 2 per cent in April); 25.5 per cent were undecided; 9.7 per cent said they will not vote, while 4.9 per cent did not know/did not answer.

 

As far as the intention to vote for a new party is concerned, 39.5 per cent of the respondents say they would not vote such party in the next election (up from 35.8 per cent in April); 29.6 per cent would vote such party (slightly down from 29.8 per cent in April), while 25.4 per cent were undecided (slightly up from 23.6 per cent in April). As many as 5.5 per cent did not know/did not answer (down from 10.8 per cent in April).

The poll was commissioned by daily Adevarul and conducted by INSCOP Research, July 9 – 14, 2015 on a sample of 1,075 persons. It carries a maximum error margin of plus/minus 3 per cent. The poll was conducted using questionnaires filled in at the domicile of the respondents.

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