Europe is in the midst of a process of change. A dynamic that never stopped but that, in the last 9 years since the latest big economic crisis, has substantially modified its geometry and amplification rate.
Many political analysts and commentators of the day suggest that what is going on now in Europe is a phenomenon whose cyclicality is easy to recognize and identify in European history due to the fact that the old continent has borne a unique peculiarity throughout time – the asymmetry of the distribution of the power core and the evolutionary statal inequality of the countries making up the European continental body.
On a closer look, we could say that Europe is going through completely specific moments. Even due to the fact that, before the European Union was formed and the notion of “European-American continental defence bloc” appeared, the European countries could not be placed under the sign of joint thought and action on the plane of political and economic power.
All signs and signals emerging from the hard core of current European power point to the fact that its power dynamic is heading toward a historic turning point moment beyond which Europe will never be the same.
Whether we are talking about a new wave of economic crisis that is starting to be increasingly more poignantly outlined and to make its influence felt even in the midst of the big edifice of the European Union, underscored and emphasized by the signal given by the United Kingdom, which recently expressed its obvious desire to pull out of the Union, or about the escalation of an insurmountable situation that concerns the Great European powers reaching an agreement on the migrants’ crisis and on the way it should be amiably solved by all European countries, so that the gulf that is growing deeper with each passing day between the customized reality of each continental statal entity and the centre of European power and decision should not grow and should not become anarchy that could throw Europe into chaos, with devastating long-term effects, or about the continuous pressure coming from the geopolitically tense situation that Europe has in relation with Russia and especially from all that the political-military conflict in the Middle East entails, at this moment Europe finds itself at a crossroads which means our views on the near future present several scenarios that are not quite gladdening.
In this entire picture with apocalyptic nuances, Romania is positioned more uncertainly and fragilely than at any time in the last 27 years.
With heightened domestic instability and continuous vulnerabilisation in the face of its own political statal dilemma, our country finds herself with her back against the shaking wall that the great European edifice is, and with her face turned toward a future outlook that may take dramatic tones over the short and medium term.
We do not know yet what the effects of the great economic destructuring wave of 2007 were and what European Union accession meant for Romanian in 2005, but we can all feel it through everything that is going on around us and that continues to happen as a domino effect in the economy of the Romanian state and the specific trends of local politics.
27 years since the first great wave of change that turned to 180 degrees the entire European thinking about the continental dynamic and made Romania a democratic country with intentions and plans oriented toward Western progress, materialized through a “cliquet effect,” a phenomenon of irreversible integration on a new path and in a new national paradigm, we are now are reaching the moment when we are forced, this time, to prove the maturity we gained in the last decades spent in the shadow of the great powers of Western democracy and to look carefully, firstly at what is happening around us, in the European space of strong long-term decisions and, at the same time, to succeed, at least now, in adapting on the run to a plurality of forces that compel us to judge correctly and to pertinently capitalize on our position among the countries with special geopolitical potential.
What is happening now at the level of the big structure of the European Union is far from being gladdening or encouraging.
And what is happening in the country, at all levels, starting with the political one, going through the economic and finishing with the social one, could be considered veritably disastrous.
With an economy undergoing an accelerated process of dissolution and destructuring, with a body politic monolithicized and oriented exclusively toward staying in power at any cost, anachronisticized and out of sync with the world beyond Romanian borders, with a complete lack of progressive and democratic vision on the part of those who have been in office in the last 27 years, vision on the way Romania has to fall in line with the new requirements that the position of full member of the large European democratic brotherhood has imposed as standard and status for complete integration (including in the single currency area), with a civil society that is anarchic and completely disoriented because of the continuous pressures that politics put on it in recent years, with an insurmountable fracture between power structures and the citizens of the state and with an increasingly reduced competence and capacity on the part of the political representatives of the last 25 years to negotiate with priority the interests and profits that Romania should have as a result of joining the EU, all of this puts us at this moment in that position of total vulnerability and exposure in the face of the big wave of change that is threatening to throw us at the periphery of Europe.
Thus, just a month before the European Commission’s April report that has in view the presentation of the national reform and stability programmes (in the case of the Euro Area countries) or the convergence programmes (in the case of countries outside the Euro Area) and that tackles the public finances of member states, Romania finds herself in a great impasse whose effect will be fully felt only in the autumn, when the fate of the whole European Union will be decided after the events taking place this year are taken stock of.
The impasse our country finds herself in, in relation to the phenomenon of the great current of European transformation, is under the sign of domestic politics and of its national level games.
Because, for a country that after 26 years is continuing to face an uninterrupted anarchisation of power, a strong devaluation of its own national values and of its own image projected in the world, for a country that in the 21st Century and in the midst of a democratized and modernized world gravitates toward the same archaic model of rendering domestic power oligarchic and of rendering internecine the struggle to maintain power, irrespective of the disastrous effects it produces at the level of the state and of its economic and social structures, for a country in which the separation of powers is understood and implemented as the isolation of each branch – executive, presidential, parliamentary, civil – from the others and of all of them in relation to the de facto interests of the democratic state, the country review report with which Romania can show up before Europe in April is dramatic. This report will surely not help us to position ourselves, neither this time around, on the side of those that find shelter in the face of the great European and global historic challenges of the moment and of the future.