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May 19, 2022

HealthMin Rafila: Worst case scenario in Romania sees over 70,000 new COVID infections daily

Health Minister Alexandru Rafila, speaking on Friday  in Valenii de Munte, said that the worst case scenario is that Romania numbers will reach over 70,000 new Covid infections daily.

“This is just for the record, it doesn’t mean this will really happen, but if it does, please note that at such peaks we could have between 7,800 and 43,000 hospitalizations (…) and between 60 and 360 deaths,” said Rafila.

The Minister presented the evolution of the pandemic and the impact of the Omicron spread, citing data from the National Public Health Institute (INSP).

According to INSP data, the risk of top capacities provided for in the resilience plans being attained in the first half of February is still looming.

“These are working hypotheses. What has happened in the last two or three weeks has shown us that hospitalizations account for 2-3 percent of the total, intensive care cases are relatively few, and the situation is under control at the moment,” Rafila said.

In this context he explained that the authorities have a plan to increase hospital care capacity.

“25,000 beds are currently allocated out of (…) over 120,000 beds available, that is 20 percent of the hospital care capacity, and we have a plan to increase this capacity by another 10 to 30 percent, but also keep hospitals available for the other patient categories which are at least as important as keeping the pandemic under control,” he stated, according to Agerpres.


Current ICU cases are generally with Delta variant


The Minister of Health, Alexandru Rafila, declared on Friday, in Valenii de Munte, that the Delta variant of the SARS-CoV-2 virus is still in circulation, and the severe cases that are currently in the ICU are generally caused by this.

“Among the sequences, 75% are with the Omicron variant, but the Delta variant still exists. The serious cases, the cases in the ICU at the moment, are generally with the Delta variant. As soon as the Delta variant will disappear from circulation due to the competition with the Omicron variant, which spreads more quickly, it is possible to have a more favorable evolution, not necessarily favorable because the Omicron variant can also produce difficult situations for certain categories of persons,” Rafila said.

He specified that at this moment around 30% beds available in the ICU pandemic resilience plan are occupied nationwide.

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